The National Hurricane Center’s latest map shows an area with a 60% chance of development in the next seven days. This is based on a wave that has just come off of Africa, probably one of the last ones we will see this season. Late in the season in the Atlantic basin, most storms develop in the Caribbean or Gulf or along the East Coast. Every model is currently showing that this storm, if it develops into Jerry, will follow the path of previous Atlantic storms this year and will curve north before it approaches the United States or other land areas in the western side of the Atlantic. The yellow X in the Gulf has a zero percent chance of developing because of high winds aloft preventing vertical development, but it is bringing some rain to the area near it.
