Just a quick update on Tropical Storm Elsa, which briefly reached hurricane status before weakening as it lost its organization. There is still a chance that it could regain hurricane status again if it strengthens over warm water in the eastern Gulf, but most likely it will remain a tropical storm until it makes landfall and speeds up as it moves to the northeast. It could drop several inches of rain over the Florida peninsula and southeastern Georgia as it moves through the area on Tuesday and Wednesday. Parts of that region have already received heavy rain from the stalled front over that area last week, so flooding is likely in some rivers and low-lying areas. Some changes to the forecast are likely as the storm may lose strength over the Cuban mountains or regain it over the warm water of the eastern Gulf, so don’t let your guard down. Continue to pay attention to the National Hurricane Forecasts for the national perspective and your local National Weather Service forecasts for details about your area. Note that whatever the final path is, the heaviest rain and winds are likely to be at or to the right of the center of circulation.

Posted in: