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Developing El Niño shows influence in November 2018 and NDJ forecasts

The latest monthly and 3-month outlooks for the US show that in November the forecast from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center leans toward warmer and wetter conditions than normal, particularly in the coastal areas of the Southeast. For the November through January period, the influence of the developing El Niño is seen, with equal chances of warmer, cooler, or near normal temperatures are predicted based on how the warming trend over time is balanced out by cooler temperatures usually associated with El Niño. Precipitation is leaning towards wetter than normal conditions, as El Niño typically produces more rain due to the presence of the subtropical jet stream over the Southeast.