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November 2018 expected to be warmer and wetter than normal in the Southeast

The outlook for November 2018 and for November through January 2019 was released today by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. It shows that November is leaning towards warmer than normal temperatures across the US and wetter than normal conditions in the Southeast. For the months of November 2018 through January 2019, a weak El Niño is expected to bring equal chances of below, near or above normal temperatures to the region due to the competing effects of cooling from the El Niño superimposed on the general warming trend. Precipitation is likely to be above normal over the winter due to the impacts of the subtropical jet steering rain systems across the region. This is expected to continue through spring as well.