Pam Knox discusses the fall weather outlook below.
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released their latest monthly and seasonal outlooks today. They show no strong signal in temperature in September but a tilt towards wetter than normal conditions in the northern parts of the region. For the fall months of September through November, all of the region except for Alabama is leaning towards warmer than normal conditions but there is no signal in precipitation, which means there are equal chances of near, below, and above normal rainfall in fall. The prediction for the winter months of December through February is for warmer and drier conditions across the region, in alignment with the expectation that La Nina will be returning in the next few months. You can see the longer-range predictions at https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=7.