{"id":9961,"date":"2017-02-03T21:02:29","date_gmt":"2017-02-04T02:02:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/?p=9961"},"modified":"2017-02-03T21:02:29","modified_gmt":"2017-02-04T02:02:29","slug":"how-unusual-is-2016s-record-temperature-three-peat-and-will-the-hot-streak-continue-in-2017","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/2017\/02\/how-unusual-is-2016s-record-temperature-three-peat-and-will-the-hot-streak-continue-in-2017\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;How unusual is 2016&#8217;s record-temperature three-peat, and will the hot streak continue in 2017?&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last month NOAA&#8217;s <em>Climate.gov<\/em> posted a story following the release of the 2016 global average temperature, discussing how unusual this event was. \u00a0Jessica Blunden, the author, discussed the impact of El Ni\u00f1o on temperature records in general and specifically on the record-setting global temperatures this year. \u00a0She also provided an outlook for 2017. \u00a0You can read it at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.climate.gov\/news-features\/blogs\/beyond-data\/how-unusual-2016s-record-temperature-three-peat-and-will-hot-streak\">https:\/\/www.climate.gov\/news-features\/blogs\/beyond-data\/how-unusual-2016s-record-temperature-three-peat-and-will-hot-streak<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>However, it&#8217;s important to keep in mind that it is very difficult to predict El Ni\u00f1o or La Ni\u00f1a occurrence later in the year because of something called the &#8220;spring predictability barrier&#8221;. \u00a0This means that it is tough to get a good prediction for ocean conditions later in summer from what we can observe is happening now. \u00a0AgWeb discusses this in their recent article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agweb.com\/article\/forecasters-against-spring-barrier-to-predict-el-nino-la-nina-naa-ashley-davenport\/?mkt_tok=eyJpIjoiWWpSaFpXRXpOR0ZsTUdVMCIsInQiOiIzSU5ZV1pEdzVjWUxmZkJyeDlKcllTSXNYWmlBTHNvWURSb3k3cnRWemhzN254ZXFobkRaem9TY2R5Rzg2S0hRWVhCdUpzZDRleXRuSHA3MjZ2TnNRMktNZE9xb2h6MmoxblwvWmx6UzJxNUtudEZnam5LR0xadk1VdmlDNFltRDkifQ%3D%3D\">here<\/a>. \u00a0So while the early predictions are leaning towards the reoccurrence of an El Ni\u00f1o by next winter, forecasters are not at all confident in whether this will really happen, and in fact observationally\u00a0it is rare to go from EN to LN to EN in three years, which gives us even less confidence than usual.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2017\/02\/GlobalTempAnoms_1880-2016_620.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-9962\" src=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2017\/02\/GlobalTempAnoms_1880-2016_620-300x144.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"144\" srcset=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2017\/02\/GlobalTempAnoms_1880-2016_620-300x144.png 300w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2017\/02\/GlobalTempAnoms_1880-2016_620-287x138.png 287w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2017\/02\/GlobalTempAnoms_1880-2016_620.png 620w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last month NOAA&#8217;s Climate.gov posted a story following the release of the 2016 global average temperature, discussing how unusual this event was. \u00a0Jessica Blunden, the author, discussed the impact of El Ni\u00f1o on temperature records in general and specifically on the record-setting global temperatures this year. \u00a0She also provided an outlook for 2017. \u00a0You can [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":58,"featured_media":9962,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9961","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-outlooks","category-climate-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9961","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/58"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9961"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9961\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9963,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9961\/revisions\/9963"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9962"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9961"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9961"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9961"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}