{"id":8286,"date":"2016-09-08T23:32:00","date_gmt":"2016-09-09T03:32:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/?p=8286"},"modified":"2016-09-08T23:33:06","modified_gmt":"2016-09-09T03:33:06","slug":"noaa-cancels-la-nina-watch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/2016\/09\/noaa-cancels-la-nina-watch\/","title":{"rendered":"NOAA cancels La Ni\u00f1a watch"},"content":{"rendered":"

In today’s somewhat surprising climate news, NOAA announced that they are canceling the La Ni\u00f1a watch that has been in place for several months. \u00a0While colder than normal conditions have been seen in the Eastern Pacific Ocean near the equator for a while, they have not been strong enough for long enough to constitute an official La Ni\u00f1a. \u00a0The wind bursts that strengthen colder than normal waters into a full-fledged La Ni\u00f1a have not occurred this year, and the predictions are for temperatures in that region to slowly warm over the next few months, heading back to neutral territory. \u00a0There is still an approximately 40 percent chance a La Ni\u00f1a could happen, but the percentages are no longer high enough to warrant the Watch.<\/p>\n

What does this mean for the climate of the Southeast in the coming months? \u00a0\u00a0For fall, the cooler than normal waters are likely to continue to cause La Ni\u00f1a-like warmer and drier than usual weather. \u00a0In either La Ni\u00f1a or neutral conditions, tropical activity is more likely than in El Ni\u00f10. \u00a0But as the ocean temperatures go back towards normal, this will become less likely. \u00a0If neutral conditions occur this winter, then prediction of Southeast climate will become more difficult, since there is no strong ENSO signal and other factors like oceanic temperatures and wave patterns in other parts of the globe become more important. \u00a0We do know that\u00a0in ENSO-neutral winters, the probability of a severe freeze is significantly greater than during El Ni\u00f1o \u00a0or La Ni\u00f1a winters.<\/p>\n

Here is a link to the NOAA ENSO Diagnostic Discussion:\u00a0https:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/\u2026\/analysis_monitoring\/enso_adv\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n

NOAA explains the change in their ENSO blog at\u00a0https:\/\/www.climate.gov\/news-features\/blogs\/enso\/september-2016-enso-update-cooling-our-heels<\/a>.<\/p>\n

KXAN<\/em> has a good article explaining the switch in the forecast at\u00a0https:\/\/kxan.com\/blog\/2016\/09\/08\/la-nina-watch-dropped-get-ready-for-anything-this-winter<\/a>\/.<\/p>\n

Mashable<\/em> also points out that with La Ni\u00f1a fizzling, record warm temperatures for the globe this year are more likely. \u00a0You can read this at\u00a0https:\/\/mashable.com\/2016\/09\/08\/la-nina-watch-canceled-global-warming\/#_ZbHrcvEZZqX.<\/p>\n

\"sst-9-8-2016\"<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In today’s somewhat surprising climate news, NOAA announced that they are canceling the La Ni\u00f1a watch that has been in place for several months. \u00a0While colder than normal conditions have been seen in the Eastern Pacific Ocean near the equator for a while, they have not been strong enough for long enough to constitute an […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":58,"featured_media":8287,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8286","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-outlooks","category-el-nino-and-la-nina"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8286","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/58"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8286"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8286\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8289,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8286\/revisions\/8289"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8287"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8286"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8286"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8286"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}