{"id":8253,"date":"2016-09-05T09:10:49","date_gmt":"2016-09-05T13:10:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/?p=8253"},"modified":"2016-09-05T09:10:49","modified_gmt":"2016-09-05T13:10:49","slug":"how-did-the-farmers-almanac-do-last-winter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/2016\/09\/how-did-the-farmers-almanac-do-last-winter\/","title":{"rendered":"How did the Farmers&#8217; Almanac do last winter?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>If you know folks who like to use the Farmers&#8217; Almanac for their climate forecasts, you might be interested in this graphic put together by Jan Null, a weather analyst from California, which compares the Almanac&#8217;s forecast to what was actually observed across the US last winter. \u00a0The graphic shows that for precipitation the results were mostly mixed across the US, although the forecast for the Southeast was mostly bad, and the temperature forecasts across the US were mostly bad, with the only area of agreement in southern Florida.<\/p>\n<p>By comparison, I put up the forecasts from the Climate Prediction Center, which showed much better agreement for temperature, and mixed results for precipitation, since the wettest conditions actually happened west of us in the Southeast last winter. \u00a0Keep in mind that the CPC forecasts show the probability of normal, above or below normal conditions, not what the actual values will be, so you can have a low-probability forecast be the one that occurs.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2016\/09\/farmers-almanac-winter-15-16-null-evaluation.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-8254\" src=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2016\/09\/farmers-almanac-winter-15-16-null-evaluation-300x269.jpg\" alt=\"farmers almanac winter 15-16 null evaluation\" width=\"300\" height=\"269\" srcset=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2016\/09\/farmers-almanac-winter-15-16-null-evaluation-300x269.jpg 300w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2016\/09\/farmers-almanac-winter-15-16-null-evaluation-768x688.jpg 768w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2016\/09\/farmers-almanac-winter-15-16-null-evaluation-154x138.jpg 154w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2016\/09\/farmers-almanac-winter-15-16-null-evaluation.jpg 804w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/11\/djf-15-temp-outlook.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-5234\" src=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/11\/djf-15-temp-outlook-300x279.gif\" alt=\"djf 15 temp outlook\" width=\"300\" height=\"279\" srcset=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/11\/djf-15-temp-outlook-300x279.gif 300w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/11\/djf-15-temp-outlook-149x138.gif 149w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/08\/djf-15-precip.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-4087\" src=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/08\/djf-15-precip-300x279.gif\" alt=\"djf 15 precip\" width=\"300\" height=\"279\" srcset=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/08\/djf-15-precip-300x279.gif 300w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/08\/djf-15-precip-149x138.gif 149w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If you know folks who like to use the Farmers&#8217; Almanac for their climate forecasts, you might be interested in this graphic put together by Jan Null, a weather analyst from California, which compares the Almanac&#8217;s forecast to what was actually observed across the US last winter. \u00a0The graphic shows that for precipitation the results [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":217,"featured_media":8254,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8253","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-outlooks"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8253","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/217"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8253"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8253\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8255,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8253\/revisions\/8255"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8254"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8253"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8253"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8253"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}