{"id":5524,"date":"2015-12-15T16:19:54","date_gmt":"2015-12-15T21:19:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/?p=5524"},"modified":"2015-12-15T16:19:54","modified_gmt":"2015-12-15T21:19:54","slug":"el-nino-2015-reaching-its-peak-now-what","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/2015\/12\/el-nino-2015-reaching-its-peak-now-what\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;El Nino 2015 reaching its peak &#8211; now what?&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>AL.com<\/em> posted a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.al.com\/news\/index.ssf\/2015\/12\/el_nino_2015_reaching_its_peak.html\" target=\"_blank\">story<\/a> yesterday with the title above looking ahead to the future as El Ni\u00f1o reaches its peak intensity and starts to decline. \u00a0What happens after a strong El Ni\u00f1o starts to fade? \u00a0Keep in mind that it will take months for the mass of unusually warm water in the Eastern Pacific Ocean disappears, so impacts are going to continue through the winter and into spring as well. \u00a0But eventually it will go back to neutral conditions, and what happens next will impact agriculture next growing season.<\/p>\n<p>David Zierden, the Florida State Climatologist, provided a look at what has happened at the end of previous strong El Ni\u00f1os in his briefing today for the ACF basin. \u00a0A screen capture of his slide showing what happened in when previous strong El Ni\u00f1os faded away is shown below. \u00a0In four of the five events, the pattern swung to the opposite pattern, a La Ni\u00f1a. \u00a0We know that in the Southeast La Ni\u00f1as are often linked to drought as well as active Atlantic tropical seasons, so that farmers should be thinking now about how to deal with both the likelihood of drier than normal conditions as well as the possibility of floods if a tropical storm moves right over their area. \u00a0The wet conditions through the winter also make it likely that fields will be quite wet in the spring, which could lead to delays in planting.<\/p>\n<p>Regional yield maps from <a href=\"https:\/\/agroclimate.org\/tools\/Regional-Yield-Maps\/\" target=\"_blank\">Agroclimate.org<\/a> indicate that in La Nina years corn and peanuts tend to do well, while soybeans, cotton, and wheat do less well.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/12\/transition-to-la-nina.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-5525\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-5525\" src=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/12\/transition-to-la-nina-300x227.jpg\" alt=\"transition to la nina\" width=\"366\" height=\"277\" srcset=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/12\/transition-to-la-nina-300x227.jpg 300w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/12\/transition-to-la-nina-183x138.jpg 183w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/12\/transition-to-la-nina.jpg 749w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 366px) 100vw, 366px\" \/><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/12\/la-nina-corn.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-5526\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-5526\" src=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/12\/la-nina-corn-241x300.jpg\" alt=\"la nina corn\" width=\"241\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/12\/la-nina-corn-241x300.jpg 241w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/12\/la-nina-corn-111x138.jpg 111w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/12\/la-nina-corn.jpg 549w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 241px) 100vw, 241px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AL.com posted a story yesterday with the title above looking ahead to the future as El Ni\u00f1o reaches its peak intensity and starts to decline. \u00a0What happens after a strong El Ni\u00f1o starts to fade? \u00a0Keep in mind that it will take months for the mass of unusually warm water in the Eastern Pacific Ocean [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":58,"featured_media":5525,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,22,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5524","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-and-ag-in-the-news","category-el-nino-and-la-nina","category-tools-for-climate-and-agriculture"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5524","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/58"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5524"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5524\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5527,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5524\/revisions\/5527"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5525"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5524"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5524"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5524"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}