{"id":4820,"date":"2015-10-21T06:43:30","date_gmt":"2015-10-21T10:43:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/?p=4820"},"modified":"2015-10-21T06:43:30","modified_gmt":"2015-10-21T10:43:30","slug":"noaas-discussion-on-what-to-expect-this-el-nino-winter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/2015\/10\/noaas-discussion-on-what-to-expect-this-el-nino-winter\/","title":{"rendered":"NOAA&#8217;s discussion on what to expect this El Ni\u00f1o winter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>What do we expect this coming winter now that the strong El Ni\u00f1o is here?\u00a0 Mike Halpert of NOAA discusses the likely conditions across the US in the <em>Climate.gov<\/em> blog post <a href=\"https:\/\/www.climate.gov\/news-features\/blogs\/enso\/what-expect-winter-noaa%E2%80%99s-outlook-reveals-what-conditions-are-favored\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a> and shows the variation of previous El Ni\u00f1o winters from strong to weak years.\u00a0 Even in the strong years, there is still quite a variety of climate outcomes from one event to the next.\u00a0 In the Southeast, the signals for above normal precipitation are much more consistent from one El Ni\u00f1o to the next than temperature.<\/p>\n<p>If you are interested in more graphics on the current El Ni\u00f1o, there is a good collection at <em>DaculaWeather<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.daculaweather.com\/4_nino_graphs.php\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>.\u00a0 One thing that really strikes me is the strong decay of the El Ni\u00f1o that is predicted to occur by all the models in the April to July time frame.\u00a0 Many of the models also predict that the tropics will cross over to the opposite phase, La Ni\u00f1a, later in the summer.\u00a0 Often La Ni\u00f1as are associated with dry summer conditions and increased Atlantic tropical storm activity (which could counteract the dry conditions if the storms make landfall) in late summer into fall, so that will be something to watch for next growing season.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/10\/enso-forecast-10-20-2015.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-4821\" src=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/10\/enso-forecast-10-20-2015-300x232.png\" alt=\"enso forecast 10-20-2015\" width=\"300\" height=\"232\" srcset=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/10\/enso-forecast-10-20-2015-300x232.png 300w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/10\/enso-forecast-10-20-2015.png 1024w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/10\/enso-forecast-10-20-2015-179x138.png 179w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What do we expect this coming winter now that the strong El Ni\u00f1o is here?\u00a0 Mike Halpert of NOAA discusses the likely conditions across the US in the Climate.gov blog post here and shows the variation of previous El Ni\u00f1o winters from strong to weak years.\u00a0 Even in the strong years, there is still quite [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":58,"featured_media":4821,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,16,22,19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4820","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-and-ag-in-the-news","category-climate-science","category-el-nino-and-la-nina","category-tropical-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4820","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/58"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4820"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4820\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4823,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4820\/revisions\/4823"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4821"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4820"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4820"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4820"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}