If you’re wondering which forecasting sources give the best results, you might be interested in this older\u00a0article<\/a> from OmniNerd.com, which compares the forecast errors for high and low temperatures for a number of different sources.<\/p>\n In general, forecasts are a lot better than they were even a decade ago due to increases in computing skill and better models. \u00a0The National Weather Service seems to have some of the best forecasts for both high and low temperature but only go out to about six days (a low value on the graph below is a more accurate forecast). \u00a0A few other companies go out farther in time (in one case, much farther) but those forecasts have basically no skill. \u00a0In fact, one of the owners of a well-known commercial forecasting firm (I won’t mention which one) told me\u00a0they do their 45-day forecasts “purely for entertainment value”. \u00a0So don’t use those forecast numbers to make work plans for more than a few days out. \u00a0I will say that climate forecasts for 2-3 weeks ahead do have some skill because they look at general trends, not give specific numbers.<\/p>\n Now that so many people have smartphones, the use of weather apps has increased dramatically. \u00a0But you have to be careful using these apps, because sometimes the information they provide, which appears to be based on science, may be more “wish-casting” than forecasting. Dan’s Wild Wild Science blog at the American Geophysical Union has a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":58,"featured_media":3742,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3739","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-and-ag-in-the-news","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3739","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/58"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3739"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3739\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3745,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3739\/revisions\/3745"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3742"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3739"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3739"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3739"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}![\"accuracy](\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/07\/accuracy-of-high-temp-forecasts-300x204.png\")
<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0![\"accuracy](\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/07\/accuracy-of-low-temp-forecasts-300x204.png\")
<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"