{"id":2768,"date":"2015-04-20T10:25:26","date_gmt":"2015-04-20T14:25:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/?p=2768"},"modified":"2015-04-21T00:03:53","modified_gmt":"2015-04-21T04:03:53","slug":"how-often-do-we-get-x-amount-of-rain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/2015\/04\/how-often-do-we-get-x-amount-of-rain\/","title":{"rendered":"How often do we get X amount of rain?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In the last week I&#8217;ve received 5.94 inches of rain in my gauge near Athens. \u00a0Many areas of the Southeast received more than ample rain in the last few days. \u00a0Fortunately, it looks like we may have a dry spell mid-week to cheer us up and help the farmers catch up on their field work.<\/p>\n<p>Sometimes I am asked how often a rain of a particular amount occurs. \u00a0To determine that, we can use tables of return periods produced by the National Weather Service&#8217;s Hydrometeorological Design Studies Center at\u00a0<a title=\"NWS Precipitation frequency tables\" href=\"https:\/\/hdsc.nws.noaa.gov\/hdsc\/pfds\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/hdsc.nws.noaa.gov\/hdsc\/pfds\/<\/a>. \u00a0Pick your state and then use the tools to pick your location. \u00a0By doing this for Athens, GA, I get a table which shows the expected rainfall amounts for a variety of time periods and return periods.<\/p>\n<p>The table for Athens is shown below. \u00a0For my 5.94 inches over seven days, I get a return period of 2 years. \u00a0This means that on average, a 7-day rainfall of 5.95 inches occurs once every two years. \u00a0A more correct way of putting it would be to say that it has a 1 in 2 chance of occurring in any given year. \u00a0It would take a lot more rain to reach the 100 year threshold, which is 11.6 inches for Athens. \u00a0Note that areas near Mobile AL, received over 11 inches in the last week; however, their 100 year return period storm for seven days is 20.3 inches. \u00a0Clearly Mobile gets more heavy rain than Athens does!<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/04\/precip-frequency-table-for-Athens.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-2769\" src=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/04\/precip-frequency-table-for-Athens-300x241.jpg\" alt=\"precip frequency table for Athens\" width=\"300\" height=\"241\" srcset=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/04\/precip-frequency-table-for-Athens-300x241.jpg 300w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/04\/precip-frequency-table-for-Athens-172x138.jpg 172w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/04\/precip-frequency-table-for-Athens.jpg 995w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>When you hear the term &#8220;100-year storm&#8221; it&#8217;s important to note that really this means that particular depth of rainfall has a 1 in 100 chance of occurring in any given year. \u00a0And it is certainly possible to have two years in a row with 100 year storms at the same place, although the likelihood is quite rare. \u00a0More often, a 100-year storm occurs somewhere nearby but not at exactly the same location, and that is more likely.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s also important to know that while engineers use tables like these to design culverts, roofs, roads, and other infrastructure, local building codes may use different sets of tables as their design standard. \u00a0For example, in Georgia there is a <a title=\"GA Stormwater Management Manual\" href=\"https:\/\/atlantaregional.com\/environment\/georgia-stormwater-manual\" target=\"_blank\">stormwater management manual<\/a>\u00a0for the state which has its own set of tables in Appendix A.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/04\/raindrops-on-puddle-commons.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-2770\" src=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/04\/raindrops-on-puddle-commons-300x214.jpg\" alt=\"raindrops on puddle commons\" width=\"300\" height=\"214\" srcset=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/04\/raindrops-on-puddle-commons-300x214.jpg 300w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/04\/raindrops-on-puddle-commons-194x138.jpg 194w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/04\/raindrops-on-puddle-commons.jpg 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the last week I&#8217;ve received 5.94 inches of rain in my gauge near Athens. \u00a0Many areas of the Southeast received more than ample rain in the last few days. \u00a0Fortunately, it looks like we may have a dry spell mid-week to cheer us up and help the farmers catch up on their field work. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":58,"featured_media":2770,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16,6,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2768","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-science","category-sources-of-weather-and-climate-data","category-tools-for-climate-and-agriculture"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2768","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/58"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2768"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2768\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2777,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2768\/revisions\/2777"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2770"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2768"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2768"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2768"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}