{"id":22081,"date":"2021-07-09T10:50:56","date_gmt":"2021-07-09T14:50:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/?p=22081"},"modified":"2021-07-09T10:50:59","modified_gmt":"2021-07-09T14:50:59","slug":"july-2021-enso-update-la-nina-watch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/2021\/07\/july-2021-enso-update-la-nina-watch\/","title":{"rendered":"July 2021 ENSO update: La Ni\u00f1a Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

We are in neutral conditions now, but this week NOAA forecasters issued a La Ni\u00f1a Watch, indicating that they think La Ni\u00f1a will likely return in the September through November period and last through next winter. Although El Ni\u00f1os seldom last for more than one winter, it is not at all unusual for La Nina to occur two or sometimes even three years in a row. In their latest ENSO outlook<\/a>, they point out that “of the twelve first-year La Ni\u00f1a events, eight (!) were followed by La Ni\u00f1a the next winter, two by neutral, and two by El Ni\u00f1o.” <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Typically, a La Ni\u00f1a winter is warmer and drier than normal across the Southeast, although last winter’s climate was not typical due to the impacts of a Sudden Stratospheric Warming. That led to a huge cold outbreak that affected Texas and the entire central US (and parts of the Southeast as well) in February. Another SSW event is not likely to happen again this year, although it could, so a prediction of a warmer and drier than normal winter is to be expected since the seasonal forecasts are based in large part on statistics. One thing is certain: a return to La Ni\u00f1a will help keep this another active tropical season, which has already gotten off to an early start.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

We are in neutral conditions now, but this week NOAA forecasters issued a La Ni\u00f1a Watch, indicating that they think La Ni\u00f1a will likely return in the September through November period and last through next winter. Although El Ni\u00f1os seldom last for more than one winter, it is not at all unusual for La Nina […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":217,"featured_media":22082,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22081","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-and-ag-in-the-news","category-el-nino-and-la-nina"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22081","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/217"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22081"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22081\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22083,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22081\/revisions\/22083"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22082"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22081"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22081"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22081"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}