{"id":16241,"date":"2018-12-13T20:35:42","date_gmt":"2018-12-14T01:35:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/?p=16241"},"modified":"2018-12-13T20:35:42","modified_gmt":"2018-12-14T01:35:42","slug":"still-waiting-for-el-nino","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/2018\/12\/still-waiting-for-el-nino\/","title":{"rendered":"Still waiting for El Ni\u00f1o"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The latest El Ni\u00f1o discussion was released today. Many of us were expecting that the Climate Prediction Center might finally call this an El Ni\u00f1o event and not just a watch, but today&#8217;s discussion makes it clear that we are not quite there yet. While the ocean temperatures match what we expect from an El Ni\u00f1o event, the atmosphere has not quite matched up its circulation pattern to the ocean temperatures, so the watch continues. The prediction gives us at least a 90 percent chance of an El Ni\u00f1o this winter, and in fact the rainfall we&#8217;ve been seeing this fall looks a lot like what I would expect in an El Ni\u00f1o winter, so even if we never quite make it there, it&#8217;s going to look a lot like El Ni\u00f1o this season.\u00a0 Most predictions indicate that it will be a weak to moderate event. You can read the latest discussion at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cpc.noaa.gov\/products\/analysis_monitoring\/enso_advisory\/ensodisc.pdf\">https:\/\/www.cpc.noaa.gov\/products\/analysis_monitoring\/enso_advisory\/ensodisc.pdf<\/a>.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_2008\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2008\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/02\/global-el-nino-effects.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-2008\" src=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/02\/global-el-nino-effects-300x183.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"183\" srcset=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/02\/global-el-nino-effects-300x183.jpg 300w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/02\/global-el-nino-effects-226x138.jpg 226w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2015\/02\/global-el-nino-effects.jpg 620w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-2008\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: NOAA<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The latest El Ni\u00f1o discussion was released today. Many of us were expecting that the Climate Prediction Center might finally call this an El Ni\u00f1o event and not just a watch, but today&#8217;s discussion makes it clear that we are not quite there yet. While the ocean temperatures match what we expect from an El [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":217,"featured_media":2008,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16241","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-and-ag-in-the-news","category-el-nino-and-la-nina"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16241","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/217"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16241"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16241\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16242,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16241\/revisions\/16242"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2008"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16241"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16241"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16241"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}