{"id":15915,"date":"2018-10-25T22:33:41","date_gmt":"2018-10-26T02:33:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/?p=15915"},"modified":"2018-10-26T09:06:03","modified_gmt":"2018-10-26T13:06:03","slug":"winter-wild-card-el-nino-modokievent-possible","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/2018\/10\/winter-wild-card-el-nino-modokievent-possible\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;Winter wild card? El Ni\u00f1o \u201cModoki\u201devent possible&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As you know if you&#8217;ve been following this blog, an El Ni\u00f1o appears to be forming in the Eastern Pacific Ocean and is expected to develop over the next couple of months and last through the winter (gory details of the technical discussion can be found at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cpc.noaa.gov\/products\/analysis_monitoring\/lanina\/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf\">https:\/\/www.cpc.noaa.gov\/products\/analysis_monitoring\/lanina\/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>A number of forecasters are expecting that unlike a traditional El Ni\u00f1o, where the warmest water is in the eastern part of the ocean, we may see a &#8220;Modoki&#8221; event occur instead. In a &#8220;Modoki&#8221; event, the warmest water occurs farther to the west in the central Pacific Ocean near the International Date Line. This changes the position of the subtropical jet stream which pushes winter storms, clouds and precipitation around, and could mean more cold outbreaks for the Southeast this year than in a traditional El Ni\u00f1o. It also means that it is less likely that we will have a very wet winter than we might under a regular El Ni\u00f1o.\u00a0 You can read more about Modoki events at Minnesota Public Radio&#8217;s Updraft blog at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.mprnews.org\/updraft\/2018\/10\/winter-wild-card-el-nino-modokievent-possible\/\">https:\/\/blogs.mprnews.org\/updraft\/2018\/10\/winter-wild-card-el-nino-modokievent-possible\/<\/a> and read more details about the differences between the two types of events at Firsthand Weather in an article from last summer at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/firsthandweather.com\/3796\/winter-2018-2019-discussion-modoki-el-nino\/\">https:\/\/firsthandweather.com\/3796\/winter-2018-2019-discussion-modoki-el-nino\/<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2018\/10\/Modoki-630x212-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-15930\" src=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2018\/10\/Modoki-630x212-1-300x101.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"101\" srcset=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2018\/10\/Modoki-630x212-1-300x101.png 300w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2018\/10\/Modoki-630x212-1-410x138.png 410w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2018\/10\/Modoki-630x212-1.png 630w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As you know if you&#8217;ve been following this blog, an El Ni\u00f1o appears to be forming in the Eastern Pacific Ocean and is expected to develop over the next couple of months and last through the winter (gory details of the technical discussion can be found at\u00a0https:\/\/www.cpc.noaa.gov\/products\/analysis_monitoring\/lanina\/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf). A number of forecasters are expecting that unlike [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":217,"featured_media":15930,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,22,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15915","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-outlooks","category-el-nino-and-la-nina","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15915","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/217"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15915"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15915\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15932,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15915\/revisions\/15932"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15930"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15915"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15915"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15915"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}