{"id":13774,"date":"2018-02-20T22:58:31","date_gmt":"2018-02-21T03:58:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/?p=13774"},"modified":"2018-02-20T22:59:22","modified_gmt":"2018-02-21T03:59:22","slug":"how-well-have-climate-models-projected-global-warming","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/2018\/02\/how-well-have-climate-models-projected-global-warming\/","title":{"rendered":"How well have climate models projected global warming?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I frequently hear complaints from some of my friends who are skeptical about climate change that the climate models are no good and therefore any projections they make about future climate cannot be trusted. I find that interesting because climate models are similar to weather forecasting models in how they operate although some facets of what they are designed to do are different. I know these people use weather forecasts daily and presumably trust them even if they are occasionally wrong. I was interested to read this article in <em>Carbon Brief<\/em> comparing past model predictions of climate from several\u00a0 different models over time to what actually happenedand explaining why they were off when they were. Maybe you will be interested too. Here it is:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/analysis-how-well-have-climate-models-projected-global-warming\">https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/analysis-how-well-have-climate-models-projected-global-warming<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2018\/02\/model-comparisons-ipcc-2013.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-13775\" src=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2018\/02\/model-comparisons-ipcc-2013-300x158.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"158\" srcset=\"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2018\/02\/model-comparisons-ipcc-2013-300x158.jpg 300w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2018\/02\/model-comparisons-ipcc-2013-768x405.jpg 768w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2018\/02\/model-comparisons-ipcc-2013-262x138.jpg 262w, https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/files\/2018\/02\/model-comparisons-ipcc-2013.jpg 829w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I frequently hear complaints from some of my friends who are skeptical about climate change that the climate models are no good and therefore any projections they make about future climate cannot be trusted. I find that interesting because climate models are similar to weather forecasting models in how they operate although some facets of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":58,"featured_media":13775,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13774","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-and-ag-in-the-news","category-climate-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13774","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/58"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13774"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13774\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13777,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13774\/revisions\/13777"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13775"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13774"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13774"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13774"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}