{"id":12944,"date":"2017-11-01T09:50:01","date_gmt":"2017-11-01T13:50:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/?p=12944"},"modified":"2017-11-01T09:50:01","modified_gmt":"2017-11-01T13:50:01","slug":"what-does-the-la-nina-forecast-mean-for-the-next-atlantic-tropical-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/2017\/11\/what-does-the-la-nina-forecast-mean-for-the-next-atlantic-tropical-season\/","title":{"rendered":"What does the La Ni\u00f1a forecast mean for the next Atlantic tropical season?"},"content":{"rendered":"

While the 2017 tropical season in the Atlantic is not yet over, it is ramping down and (we hope) will not bring much more action to the Southeast. But it is interesting to look at how the developing La Ni\u00f1a conditions might affect next year’s season.\u00a0 Usually La Ni\u00f1a lasts for a few months and then swings back to neutral conditions, so even if La Ni\u00f1a is over by June 1, 2018, we are still likely to be in neutral conditions and not in an El Ni\u00f1o.\u00a0 Neutral conditions mean that the tropics are likely to be active again next year, particularly early in the season.\u00a0 After that, it depends on whether ENSO swings back to an\u00a0 El Ni\u00f1o, which might suppress development later in the season due to strong subtropical winds which could blow the top off of developing tropical waves. You can read more at New Scientist<\/em> here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

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Hurricane winds drive a 10-foot 2×4 through a palm tree in Puerto Rico, 1928. Source: NOAA via Commons Wikimedia.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

While the 2017 tropical season in the Atlantic is not yet over, it is ramping down and (we hope) will not bring much more action to the Southeast. But it is interesting to look at how the developing La Ni\u00f1a conditions might affect next year’s season.\u00a0 Usually La Ni\u00f1a lasts for a few months and […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":58,"featured_media":12945,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,4,19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12944","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-and-ag-in-the-news","category-climate-outlooks","category-tropical-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12944","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/58"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12944"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12944\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12946,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12944\/revisions\/12946"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12945"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12944"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12944"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/site.extension.uga.edu\/climate\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12944"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}