Tropical weather
-
Even though it is not quite the end of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, the tropics are very quiet right now and no additional storms are expected. Tropical expert Brian McNoldy recently wrote a detailed description of this year’s hurricane season that you might find interesting. You can read it at https://bmcnoldy.blogspot.com/2025/11/summary-of-unusual-2025-hurricane-season.html. In the summary,…
-
One of the biggest surprises to me during this past Atlantic hurricane season was just how good the forecast models were. One of the biggest surprises was the new (to me) Google DeepMind AI model, which did an amazing job of forecasting the path of the storms this year and did well at predicting intensity…
-
Now that Hurricane Melissa has moved out of the region, farmers there are starting to assess the incredible losses that they are experiencing from the devastating storm. I have not seen many actual numbers yet because it takes time to do a complete assessment of the losses, as we know from our own experiences with…
-
While the Gulf has been completely quiet this Atlantic tropical season so far, there has been plenty of activity in other parts of the Atlantic. This week, Major Hurricane Melissa is on track to make a direct hit on the island nation of Jamaica, with landfall projected to occur on Tuesday morning potentially as a…
-
In the last week, we have been following the progression of a tropical wave off of Africa that has turned into Tropical Storm Melissa over the last day. This could be one of the last tropical waves we see this year as the focus of development for tropical storms late in the season usually comes…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The latest 7-day outlook from the National Hurricane Center shows two new areas of potential development in the Atlantic. The northern one highlights a small likelihood of development along a frontal boundary off the East Coast of the US. It is currently listed as just a 10% chance of developing in the next week. The…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The latest Atlantic tropical outlook shows that Investigation 97 is currently present in the east-central Atlantic with a 60 percent chance of developing in the next two days and a 70% of developing in the next week. The models are all showing that is expected to shortly start curving to the north so it will…
Posted in: Tropical weather