Climate outlooks

  • As we enter December, here is an update on the outlook for winter and spring climate conditions in the Southeast. We are currently in a weak to moderate La Niña, and that is likely to determine the overall climate conditions for the Southeast in the coming months. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, there is…

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  • The latest monthly outlook for December 2025 was issued late last week. It shows that after an early cold start to December, temperatures are expected to warm up later in the month, so we may see a relatively warm Christmas, although it is too early to be sure. The monthly rain fall map shows the…

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  • This week, most of the region can expect to see an inch or more of rain, a big change from the last couple of months. The only exception is the Florida Peninsula, which will be south of the rain-producing weather and will get little to no rain. The first round of rain started today in…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map posted today shows that the driest areas of the region are not likely to get much precipitation this week. The best chance for rain is Monday night through Wednesday evening in Alabama and northern parts of Georgia as well as Tennessee as a front brings some rain and the potential…

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  • The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks for winter 2025-2026 were released today. They show the continued classical pattern for a weak La Nina, not surprising since we are in that now and it is expected to last for the next few months. Unfortunately, the dry conditions in southern Al and GA as well as the…

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  • The North Carolina State Climate Office released their winter outlook this week. You can find it at the link below. Even if you don’t live in NC, the discussion of the winter overall will be of interest.

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  • NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center posted an infographic earlier this week describing what they think will be a significant pattern shift late in November through mid-December. The current pattern is showing warm air in the eastern US and colder air in the western US, but after the shift occurs the coldest air will shift to the…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that little rain will fall again this week, and nearly all of what does fall will not occur until next weekend. The high pressure that will be over us for most of the week will keep any rain-producing weather away and will bring warmer than usual temperatures to the…

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