Climate outlooks

  • As we enter December, here is an update on the outlook for winter and spring climate conditions in the Southeast. We are currently in a weak to moderate La Niña, and that is likely to determine the overall climate conditions for the Southeast in the coming months. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, there is…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows little precipitation is likely to fall over the next week across most of the Southeast. This is in spite of the fact that social media-rologists have been cranking out maps showing a potential snow storm for parts of the region around January 18. Most of the trusted meteorologists I…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that rain will enter the region on Friday and bring up to an inch of rain in some locations in Alabama and Georgia. Most areas will get some rain but amounts will generally be light. After that system passes, it will be dry until the end of next week,…

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  • Hot and dry week ahead

    As we roll up to Christmas later this week, we can expect conditions that are not much like the average December 25 weather. A large area of high pressure is expected to stall in the middle of the Lower 48 states, keeping precipitation chances near zero and raising temperatures to near record-setting levels. Here in…

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  • NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center posted their latest seasonal outlook today. The pattern it shows for the next month and three month periods are very consistent with what we expect from a weak La Nina. This is not a surprise because that is our current ENSO state. Most of the Southeast is expected to be warmer…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that rain in the next week should be relatively light. Most of it will fall in the period from Thursday morning in northwestern Alabama and then progressing through the region Thursday night into Saturday morning before the weekend dries out. After that front moves through, temperatures will rebound to…

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  • After a week with some significant rains along the coastal plain stretching from Alabama to North Carolina (but much less elsewhere), the next week’s 7 day QPF is showing little to no rain for most of the region. A few patches of light rain are expected in a few locations but amounts are expected to…

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  • The latest monthly outlook for December 2025 was issued late last week. It shows that after an early cold start to December, temperatures are expected to warm up later in the month, so we may see a relatively warm Christmas, although it is too early to be sure. The monthly rain fall map shows the…

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