Climate outlooks
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As we enter December, here is an update on the outlook for winter and spring climate conditions in the Southeast. We are currently in a weak to moderate La Niña, and that is likely to determine the overall climate conditions for the Southeast in the coming months. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, there is…
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As we roll up to Christmas later this week, we can expect conditions that are not much like the average December 25 weather. A large area of high pressure is expected to stall in the middle of the Lower 48 states, keeping precipitation chances near zero and raising temperatures to near record-setting levels. Here in…
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center posted their latest seasonal outlook today. The pattern it shows for the next month and three month periods are very consistent with what we expect from a weak La Nina. This is not a surprise because that is our current ENSO state. Most of the Southeast is expected to be warmer…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that rain in the next week should be relatively light. Most of it will fall in the period from Thursday morning in northwestern Alabama and then progressing through the region Thursday night into Saturday morning before the weekend dries out. After that front moves through, temperatures will rebound to…
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After a week with some significant rains along the coastal plain stretching from Alabama to North Carolina (but much less elsewhere), the next week’s 7 day QPF is showing little to no rain for most of the region. A few patches of light rain are expected in a few locations but amounts are expected to…
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The latest monthly outlook for December 2025 was issued late last week. It shows that after an early cold start to December, temperatures are expected to warm up later in the month, so we may see a relatively warm Christmas, although it is too early to be sure. The monthly rain fall map shows the…
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This week, most of the region can expect to see an inch or more of rain, a big change from the last couple of months. The only exception is the Florida Peninsula, which will be south of the rain-producing weather and will get little to no rain. The first round of rain started today in…
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The latest 7-day QPF map posted today shows that the driest areas of the region are not likely to get much precipitation this week. The best chance for rain is Monday night through Wednesday evening in Alabama and northern parts of Georgia as well as Tennessee as a front brings some rain and the potential…
Posted in: Climate outlooks