The National Hurricane Center is showing an area with a 40% chance of development in the western Atlantic in a position that could mean potential trouble for us in the Southeast. Fortunately, this is quite a ways off, and many of the model solutions currently showing the storm as turning to the north before it reaches the US, but it is still something to keep an eye on. It is also a sign that the tropics are starting to return to a more favorable pattern for tropical storm development in spite of the continued plume of Saharan dust that is blowing off of Africa right now. I will keep you updated on the latest developments as July ends and August begins.
