NOAA released their 2023 Atlantic hurricane outlook last week and it showed that this season is likely to have fewer named storms than the previous few years. But those statistics don’t say anything about where any storms that do form might go. The Weather Channel posted a story this weekend looking at the historical paths of storms in year with El Ninos or developing El Ninos to see if they could discern any pattern. The tracks do show that hurricanes that form in the Atlantic are more likely to recurve to the northeast, missing the East Coast. However, some storms still do affect the Southeast, like Michael in 2018, so you still need to prepare as if one might hit you. It only takes one storm passing near you to cause tremendous hardship! You can read the story here.
