The latest ENSO forecast shows that the current La Nina is likely to continue to dominate the global weather through the end of the year. By then, neutral conditions are expected to take over and last for at least the next few months. Keep in mind that forecasts this time of year are not highly skillful compared to those a few months from now when the pattern is more strongly developed, so this is likely to change over the next few forecast cycles. La Nina conditions this fall are likely to enhance the chance of hurricanes because La Nina weakens the subtropical jet aloft, allowing tropical waves to develop more quickly into organized storms. You can read more at IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | July 2022 Quick Look (columbia.edu)
