I’ve been so busy that I missed the latest La Niña outlook that was released last week. Not surprisingly, it shows we are nearly at the peak of the current La Niña and that we are expected to move back towards neutral conditions over the next few months, although perhaps not quite as soon as earlier forecasts. After that, we go back to climatological averages for El Niño, La Niña, and neutral, which means the models are not telling us much. While a third year in a row of La Niña does not happen very often, it would not be unprecedented, just unlikely. You can read the discussion on all of the considerations in the Climate.gov blog by Emily Becker.
