The official NOAA forecast for the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season was released today. It’s no surprise that they predicted a 60 percent chance of an more active than average season, because four other groups have already predicted the same. The lack of an El Nino coupled with above-average ocean surface temperatures and being on the high side of the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation all contribute to the likelihood of an active season. We’ve already had our first named storm with TS Arthur, although an early storm does not always mean an active year. You can read more about this forecast at https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/busy-atlantic-hurricane-season-predicted-for-2020.
