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Latest climate outlook shows drought likely to expand through end of 2019

The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks were released by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center earlier this week. They lean towards warmer than normal temperatures for both October and the October-December period across the region. This is based on long-term warming trends along with the neutral ENSO conditions we are currently in. For precipitation, there is a band of higher probability of wetter than normal conditions along the East Coast for both the one-month and three-month periods. CPC also indicates that current areas of drought are likely to continue and could expand. Not a big surprise considering how dry we have been and are predicted to continue to be, as well as experiencing temperatures 15-20 degrees above normal after our brief respite this past week (at least in some areas).