Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast

U. K. Met Office forecasts near normal Atlantic hurricane season

The latest forecast for the North Atlantic Ocean was released today by the U. K. Met Office. It says that they expect a total number of named storms of 13, just slightly above the long-term average of 12 storms.  NOAA will be releasing its own forecast soon, and I don’t expect it to be much different than this one. Of course, it only takes one hitting near you to cause a lot of problems, so now is the time to prepare! We’ve already had one named storm, Subtropical Storm Andrea, which lasted only a day before dissipating in the Atlantic Ocean, but more will certainly come over the next six months or so. You can read their report with more details here.

This is a little higher than what I was expecting due to the continuing influence of El Niño, which often reduces the number of hurricanes in the Atlantic. However, since this is a weak event, it may not influencing the projections much one way or another. For more discussion on how El Niño affects hurricanes, please read this article in Florida Today.