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Will El Niño and La Niña get more extreme in the future?

A new research study published recently in Geophysical Research Letters indicates that in a warmer climate the swings back and forth between El Niño and La Niña may amplify, making year to year variability between the different phases more extreme. It may also make differences from one place to another larger in a given event. That is bad news for farmers, since climate variability now is one of the toughest things to deal with in planning for next year’s crops and knowing what to expect from temperatures and rainfall over the growing season. You can read the abstract at https://www.climate.gov/maps-data/primer/climate-data-primer. Since I don’t subscribe to the journal, I will have to wait for the full journal article to come to our library in a few months to learn more details.