The latest outlook for El Niño was released by NOAA today. It shows that even though the signals for the impending El Niño event have weakened slightly, the forecast for an event occurring by next winter is still likely, although the actual event may hold off until fall instead of in late summer as previously predicted. You can read a good discussion of the current conditions on the NOAA El Niño blog at https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/august-2018-enso-update-game-show-edition.