The State Climate Office of North Carolina published a blog article today describing winter weather in the years when climatological conditions, particularly with respect to El Niño, were similar to this year. Analog forecasting can give us clues to what to expect for this coming winter, although of course each winter has its own mix of conditions which determine the exact pattern of temperature and precipitation that will occur.
The article indicates that there is a good likelihood that December will be warm and that for North Carolina, the best chance of snowfall is likely to be in January, when it is also climatologically most likely. Precipitation is expected to be above normal with an active storm track across the state.
You can read the blog article at https://climate.ncsu.edu/climateblog?id=165&h=5666e5c1.
